Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.442494 0.509422 0.582641 0.668635 0.766816 0.875367 1.004440
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.364230 0.458677 0.571070 0.714447 0.892270 1.105354 1.379883
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.300597 0.411082 0.553084 0.748406 1.009512 1.345910 1.811611
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.250250 0.369533 0.534196 0.777003 1.124721 1.603361 2.310745
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.213585 0.338723 0.523290 0.813490 1.256192 1.903566 2.918975
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.178074 0.302051 0.496632 0.821513 1.347165 2.160153 3.507366
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.154158 0.278362 0.484867 0.849329 1.471829 2.485330 4.251240
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.129399 0.248033 0.456403 0.844036 1.540863 2.731547 4.906202
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.112759 0.228560 0.442634 0.860863 1.649180 3.057641 5.743992
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.094669 0.202574 0.412179 0.841470 1.688333 3.267415 6.406465
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.085731 0.192835 0.410559 0.876180 1.833685 3.689807 7.520820
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.078873 0.186002 0.413342 0.919761 2.002655 4.179708 8.833786
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.069139 0.171150 0.397362 0.922677 2.091520 4.529798 9.931001
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.060434 0.156859 0.380046 0.919719 2.167644 4.865470 11.050000
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053200 0.144575 0.365022 0.919273 2.249272 5.224679 12.273079
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047344 0.134501 0.353341 0.924591 2.344952 5.628295 13.653664
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043175 0.127967 0.349125 0.947376 2.485796 6.153849 15.388463
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038259 0.118306 0.335170 0.943003 2.559205 6.532728 16.833085
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035103 0.112980 0.331649 0.965344 2.703974 7.102927 18.821662
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031016 0.103969 0.316378 0.953063 2.756039 7.451487 20.307975
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028361 0.098796 0.311013 0.967667 2.883282 8.008991 22.408514
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024822 0.089961 0.293246 0.943112 2.897461 8.273412 23.776407
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023415 0.087941 0.295771 0.979861 3.093820 9.054019 26.647187